Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Eliakim Coulibaly		Corentin Denolly

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.68	2.07	Watch
	1.82	2.06
	1.71	2.02	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.68	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.62)	2.04 ↓ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eliakim Coulibaly
54.1%

Corentin Denolly
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eliakim Coulibaly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Corentin Denolly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eliakim Coulibaly than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Eliakim Coulibaly - Corentin Denolly Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Coulibaly (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Eliakim Coulibaly will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Coulibaly is ranked ATP: 293. Denolly is ranked ATP: 390.

Coulibaly is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Denolly's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Coulibaly may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Coulibaly might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Coulibaly won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eliakim Coulibaly
ATP Challenger
04.03.26	Luka Pavlovic - Eliakim Coulibaly	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Cesar Bouchelaghem	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.02.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Thomas Faurel	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Johan Nikles	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Toufik Sahtali	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWW
- Corentin Denolly
ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Stefano Napolitano - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Darwin Blanch - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
02.02.26	Alex Bolt - Corentin Denolly	2:1 ✺
27.01.26	Yi Zhou - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
26.01.26	Corentin Denolly - Hyeon Chung	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.03.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Corentin Denolly	0:2
ITF Tournaments
12.06.24	Eliakim Coulibaly - Corentin Denolly	0:2

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