Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Luis Potosi, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday


	Corentin Denolly		Maxwell McKennon

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.44	2.6	Watch
	1.48	2.8
	1.41	2.69	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.84)	2.74 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Denolly
65.8%

Maxwell McKennon
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Denolly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Corentin Denolly's performance.

Maxwell McKennon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maxwell McKennon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Corentin Denolly that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxwell McKennon than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maxwell McKennon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Corentin Denolly - Maxwell McKennon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Denolly is ranked ATP: 402. McKennon is ranked ATP: 542.

Denolly is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

McKennon's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Denolly may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Denolly will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Corentin Denolly - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Maxwell McKennon - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Denolly
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Corentin Denolly - Zdenek Kolar	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Corentin Denolly	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Stefano Napolitano - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Darwin Blanch - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
02.02.26	Alex Bolt - Corentin Denolly	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- Maxwell McKennon
ATP Challenger
30.03.26	Maxwell McKennon - Samuel Heredia	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Maxwell McKennon - Federico Zeballos	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Facundo Mena - Maxwell McKennon	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Manuel Sanchez - Maxwell McKennon	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.03.26	Tiago Torres - Maxwell McKennon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWL

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