Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Metz (France), hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 8 November 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Sport 3
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis


	Corentin Moutet		Cameron Norrie

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	1.9	1.88	Watch
	2	1.9
	1.96	1.92	Watch
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.91	1.89	Watch
	1.9	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.75)	1.89 ↓ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Moutet
49.5%

Cameron Norrie
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Moutet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corentin Moutet's form might have worsened.

Cameron Norrie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cameron Norrie's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corentin Moutet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cameron Norrie, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	1.5%	89.4%

Corentin Moutet - Cameron Norrie Predictions

Users Predictions: Cameron Norrie will win (59 of 65 users predict this - 90.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.73% – 97.81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moutet is ranked ATP: 66. Norrie is ranked ATP: 57.

Moutet is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Norrie is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Norrie could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Moutet won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Moutet
ATP Metz
07.11.24	Andrey Rublev - Corentin Moutet	Moutet C. walkover
05.11.24	Corentin Moutet - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Sumit Nagal - Corentin Moutet	Nagal S. retired ✺
ATP Paris
29.10.24	Ben Shelton - Corentin Moutet	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Jakub Mensik - Corentin Moutet	Mensik J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 ?W?L?
- Cameron Norrie
ATP Metz
07.11.24	Cameron Norrie - Zizou Bergs	2:1 ✺
06.11.24	Luca Van Assche - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
06.11.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Cameron Norrie	Canceled ✺
04.11.24	Cameron Norrie - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
ATP Paris
26.10.24	Cameron Norrie - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WW?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
02.11.22	Corentin Moutet - Cameron Norrie	2:1
ATP Lyon
17.05.21	Corentin Moutet - Cameron Norrie	0:2

Corentin Moutet - Cameron Norrie: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide