Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Luca Van Assche		Cameron Norrie

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.90	1.40
	2.88	1.42
	2.93	1.47
	2.77	1.42	Watch
	2.80	1.45
	2.78	1.46	Watch
	2.70	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.54)	1.44 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 38.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
33.8%

Cameron Norrie
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Cameron Norrie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Luca Van Assche - Cameron Norrie Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Norrie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Norrie (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cameron Norrie will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Norrie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Van Assche is ranked ATP: 40. Norrie is ranked ATP: 35.

Van Assche is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Norrie's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Norrie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Norrie will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Van Assche won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Winston-Salem
25.08.26	Luca Van Assche - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.08.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Hugo Gaston - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
20.08.26	Rei Sakamoto - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWWW
- Cameron Norrie
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.26	Alexander Zverev - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
13.08.26	Cameron Norrie - Dino Prizmic	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
08.08.26	Arthur Fils - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Cameron Norrie - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
05.08.26	Ignacio Buse - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Metz
06.11.24	Luca Van Assche - Cameron Norrie	1:2
ATP Challenger
11.10.24	Cameron Norrie - Luca Van Assche	1:2
ATP Auckland
10.01.24	Luca Van Assche - Cameron Norrie	1:2
ATP Australian Open
16.01.23	Cameron Norrie - Luca Van Assche	3:0

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