Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - Final

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cincinnati 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	09:00	beIN Sports 1, Stan Sport
Brazil	20:00	ESPN 2
Denmark	01:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	02:00	DAZN
France	01:00	beIN Sports 1
Germany	01:00	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	02:00	Nova Sports 6
Poland	01:00	CANAL+ Sport 2
Slovakia	01:00	Voyo
Sweden	01:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	00:00	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports UHD, Sky Sports+


	Cori Gauff		Jessica Pegula

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.35
	1.67	2.23	Watch
	1.68	2.36
	1.63	2.34	Watch
	1.65	2.30
	1.68	2.32	Watch
	1.65	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 (1.65)	2.31 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cori Gauff
58.4%

Jessica Pegula
41.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cori Gauff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cori Gauff than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Cori Gauff - Jessica Pegula Predictions

Users Predictions: Cori Gauff will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gauff is ranked WTA: 4. Pegula is ranked WTA: 3.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gauff won 3.

Both players have recently enjoyed a winning streak.

Pegula may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gauff is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Gauff will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gauff won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Cori Gauff - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 57.36%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cori Gauff
WTA Cincinnati
22.08.26	Sara Bejlek - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Cori Gauff - Marta Kostyuk	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Cori Gauff - Marie Bouzkova	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Cori Gauff - Ann Li	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Cori Gauff - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW
- Jessica Pegula
WTA Cincinnati
22.08.26	Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek	2:1 ✺
20.08.26	Amanda Anisimova - Jessica Pegula	1:2 ✺
19.08.26	Sorana Cirstea - Jessica Pegula	1:2 ✺
17.08.26	Emma Navarro - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Simona Waltert - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Wimbledon
07.07.26	Jessica Pegula - Cori Gauff	1:2
WTA Finals
02.11.25	Cori Gauff - Jessica Pegula	1:2
WTA Wuhan
12.10.25	Jessica Pegula - Cori Gauff	0:2
WTA Finals
03.11.24	Cori Gauff - Jessica Pegula	2:0
WTA Berlin
23.06.24	Cori Gauff - Jessica Pegula	0:2
WTA Finals
04.11.23	Jessica Pegula - Cori Gauff	2:0
WTA Montreal
11.08.23	Jessica Pegula - Cori Gauff	2:1

Cori Gauff - Jessica Pegula