Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday


	Sorana Cirstea		Jessica Pegula

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.60	1.28
	3.40	1.32	Watch
	3.89	1.31
	3.57	1.31	Watch
	3.85	1.29
	3.65	1.33	Watch
	3.70	1.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (3.27)	1.3 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sorana Cirstea
26.2%

Jessica Pegula
73.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

71.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sorana Cirstea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorana Cirstea than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Sorana Cirstea - Jessica Pegula Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 19.5 Games - over (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cirstea is ranked WTA: 19. Pegula is ranked WTA: 3.

Recent performances by Cirstea have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pegula is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pegula may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pegula is a strong favorite.

We predict that Pegula will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cirstea won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sorana Cirstea
WTA Cincinnati
17.08.26	Sorana Cirstea - Anna Kalinskaya	Interrupted ✺
15.08.26	Sorana Cirstea - Nikola Bartunkova	2:0 ✺
WTA Toronto
05.08.26	Sorana Cirstea - Maya Joint	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
04.07.26	Sorana Cirstea - Linda Noskova	1:2 ✺
02.07.26	Sorana Cirstea - Kimberly Birrell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 ?WLLW
- Jessica Pegula
WTA Cincinnati
17.08.26	Emma Navarro - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Simona Waltert - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
WTA Toronto
08.08.26	Jessica Pegula - Diana Shnaider	0:2 ✺
06.08.26	Jessica Pegula - Kamilla Rakhimova	2:0 ✺
05.08.26	Jessica Pegula - Magdalena Frech	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Madrid
30.04.21	Jessica Pegula - Sorana Cirstea	2:0

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