What is the expert prediction for Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegula?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegula. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegula Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, October 03, 2025)

Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Italy	Super Tennis
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Emma Navarro		Jessica Pegula

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.8	1.44	Watch
	2.84	1.48
	2.29	1.62	Watch
	2.74	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.38)	1.49 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emma Navarro
35.7%

Jessica Pegula
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emma Navarro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emma Navarro than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: Jessica Pegula will win (24 of 30 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.69% – 94.31%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jessica Pegula will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Navarro is ranked WTA: 17. Pegula is ranked WTA: 7.

Recent performances by Navarro have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pegula is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pegula might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Pegula will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Navarro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emma Navarro
WTA Beijing
01.10.25	Iga Swiatek - Emma Navarro	1:2 ✺
29.09.25	Lois Boisson - Emma Navarro	Boisson L. retired ✺
26.09.25	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Emma Navarro	0:2 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
21.09.25	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Emma Navarro	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Emma Navarro - Sonay Kartal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 W?WLW
- Jessica Pegula
WTA Beijing
01.10.25	Marta Kostyuk - Jessica Pegula	1:2 ✺
29.09.25	Emma Raducanu - Jessica Pegula	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Ajla Tomljanovic - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
21.09.25	Jasmine Paolini - Jessica Pegula	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Jessica Pegula - Katie Boulter	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Bad Homburg
26.06.25	Jessica Pegula - Emma Navarro	2:1
WTA Miami
25.03.24	Emma Navarro - Jessica Pegula	0:2

Emma Navarro - Jessica Pegula: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide