Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Cristina Bucsa		Claire Liu

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.65	2.2
	1.62	2.23	Watch
	1.65	2.35
	1.31	3.53	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.7	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.53)	2.46 ↓ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cristina Bucsa
60.6%

Claire Liu
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cristina Bucsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Claire Liu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cristina Bucsa than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Claire Liu than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	0%	72.2%

Cristina Bucsa - Claire Liu Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Bucsa will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Liu will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liu: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Claire Liu will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bucsa is ranked WTA: 93. Liu is ranked WTA: 374.

Recent performances by Bucsa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Liu is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bucsa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bucsa might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bucsa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cristina Bucsa
WTA Monterrey
19.08.25	Cristina Bucsa - Alycia Parks	0:2 ✺
17.08.25	Cristina Bucsa - Kayla Cross	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Cristina Bucsa - Lia Karatancheva	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
10.08.25	Cristina Bucsa - Yue Yuan	0:2 ✺
06.08.25	Cristina Bucsa - Whitney Osuigwe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWWLL
- Claire Liu
WTA US Open
22.08.25	Claire Liu - Veronika Erjavec	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Claire Liu - Maddison Inglis	2:0 ✺
18.08.25	Katarzyna Kawa - Claire Liu	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.08.25	Claire Liu - Nao Hibino	0:2 ✺
11.08.25	Claire Liu - Alexandra Vagramov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.08.23	Claire Liu - Cristina Bucsa	Bucsa C. retired

Cristina Bucsa - Claire Liu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide