Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sydney - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Daisuke Sumizawa		Taiyo Yamanaka

	1	2
			Watch
	2.18	1.61	Watch
	2.24	1.62
	2.30	1.56	Watch
	2.15	1.63	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.84)	1.65 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Daisuke Sumizawa
43.6%

Taiyo Yamanaka
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daisuke Sumizawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daisuke Sumizawa's form might have worsened.

Taiyo Yamanaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Taiyo Yamanaka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daisuke Sumizawa than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daisuke Sumizawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taiyo Yamanaka than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Taiyo Yamanaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Daisuke Sumizawa - Taiyo Yamanaka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Sumizawa is ranked ATP: 857. Yamanaka is ranked ATP: 825.

Recent form of Sumizawa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Yamanaka's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Yamanaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sumizawa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Daisuke Sumizawa - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Taiyo Yamanaka - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daisuke Sumizawa
ATP Challenger
09.11.25	Takuya Kumasaka - Daisuke Sumizawa	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Takeru Yuzuki - Daisuke Sumizawa	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.10.25	Daisuke Sumizawa - Yuta Tomida	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Daisuke Sumizawa - Seung Woo Cho	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Daisuke Sumizawa - Takuya Kumasaka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL
- Taiyo Yamanaka
ATP Challenger
09.11.25	Emile Hudd - Taiyo Yamanaka	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Jesse Delaney - Taiyo Yamanaka	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Koki Matsuda - Taiyo Yamanaka	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Riku Takahata - Taiyo Yamanaka	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.10.25	Sho Katayama - Taiyo Yamanaka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.05.25	Taiyo Yamanaka - Daisuke Sumizawa	0:2
10.10.23	Daisuke Sumizawa - Taiyo Yamanaka	2:0
01.08.23	Daisuke Sumizawa - Taiyo Yamanaka	2:1

Daisuke Sumizawa - Taiyo Yamanaka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide