Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday


	Dali Blanch		Matthew Donald

	1	2
	1.48	2.45
	1.56	2.35
	1.48	2.46	Watch
	1.50	2.50
	1.49	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.65)	2.44 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dali Blanch
61.9%

Matthew Donald
38.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dali Blanch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dali Blanch's performance.

Matthew Donald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matthew Donald might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dali Blanch than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dali Blanch that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matthew Donald could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Dali Blanch - Matthew Donald Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Blanch will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Donald will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Blanch is ranked ATP: 330., and Donald is ranked ATP: 468..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Blanch could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Matthew Donald - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.12%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dali Blanch
ATP Challenger
21.09.26	Dali Blanch - Sandro Kopp	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Dali Blanch - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	0:2 ✺
14.09.26	Dali Blanch - Ivan Gakhov	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Dali Blanch - Jan Chlodnicki	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Dali Blanch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLWL
- Matthew Donald
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Matthew Donald - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Matthew Donald - Lorenzo Rottoli	Canceled
13.09.26	Matthew Donald - Giovanni Oradini	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Mika Brunold - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Jelle Sels - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 W?LLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Donald
ITF Tournaments
16.10.26	Alexander Weis - Matthew Donald	✺

Dali Blanch - Matthew Donald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide