Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Matthew Donald		Gianluca Cadenasso

	1	2
	2.25	1.57
	2.4	1.51
	2.41	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.54
	2.4	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.22)	1.53 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Donald
39.1%

Gianluca Cadenasso
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Donald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Gianluca Cadenasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Matthew Donald - Gianluca Cadenasso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Donald is ranked ATP: 465., and Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 217..

In recent outings, Donald has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Cadenasso could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Gianluca Cadenasso - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 58.73%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Donald
ATP Challenger
20.09.26	Matthew Donald - Lorenzo Rottoli	Canceled
13.09.26	Matthew Donald - Giovanni Oradini	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Mika Brunold - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Jelle Sels - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
24.08.26	Matthew Donald - Benjamin Hassan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 ?LLWL
- Gianluca Cadenasso
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Francesco Forti	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	Canceled ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Federico Cina	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.06.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Daniel Merida Aguilar	Cadenasso G. Retired ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Leandro Riedi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 L?L?L

Matthew Donald - Gianluca Cadenasso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide