Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 10, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Santa Margherita di Pula 10 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Matthew Donald		Giovanni Oradini

	1	2
			Watch
	1.60	2.15
	1.56	2.25
	1.65	2.07	Watch
	1.59	2.31
	1.59	2.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.56)	2.19 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Donald
57.8%

Giovanni Oradini
42.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Donald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Giovanni Oradini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Oradini than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Matthew Donald - Giovanni Oradini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Donald is ranked ATP: 418., and Oradini is ranked ATP: 675..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Oradini may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Donald holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Donald has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:6 (averaging 0.7:2 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Giovanni Oradini - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.94%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Donald
ITF Tournaments
13.10.26	Matthew Donald - Marco Furlanetto	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.10.26	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
02.10.26	Matthew Donald - Martin Krumich	2:1 ✺
01.10.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Matthew Donald	Giustino L. Retired ✺
29.09.26	Olle Wallin - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLW?W
- Giovanni Oradini
ITF Tournaments
13.10.26	Gabriele Bosio - Giovanni Oradini	1:2 ✺
09.10.26	Daniel Michalski - Giovanni Oradini	2:0 ✺
08.10.26	Giovanni Oradini - Federico Iannaccone	2:0 ✺
07.10.26	Giovanni Oradini - Marco Furlanetto	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Giuseppe La Vela - Giovanni Oradini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.09.26	Matthew Donald - Giovanni Oradini	1:2
ITF Tournaments
11.02.26	Giovanni Oradini - Matthew Donald	2:1
16.03.22	Matthew Donald - Giovanni Oradini	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Oradini
ITF Tournaments
31.10.26	Giovanni Oradini - Simone Massellani	✺
30.10.26	Manuel Plunger - Giovanni Oradini	✺

Matthew Donald - Giovanni Oradini