Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pune (India), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday


	Dalibor Svrcina		Ilia Simakin

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
			Watch
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.84	2.04
	1.79	2	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.81	1.92	Watch
	1.8	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.81)	1.94 ↑ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalibor Svrcina
51.9%

Ilia Simakin
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalibor Svrcina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Dalibor Svrcina - Ilia Simakin Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Svrcina will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Simakin will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Simakin: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sheff Utd won 1.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Leeds could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Leeds is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sheff Utd won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:8 (average 0.9:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Sheff Utd won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Dalibor Svrcina - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.08%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Challenger
19.02.25	Jurij Rodionov - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
17.02.25	August Holmgren - Dalibor Svrcina	1:2 ✺
13.02.25	Vit Kopriva - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
11.02.25	Ramkumar Ramanathan - Dalibor Svrcina	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWL
- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
19.02.25	James McCabe - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Ilia Simakin - Blake Ellis	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Ilia Simakin - Vit Kopriva	Canceled ✺
17.02.25	Ilia Simakin - Jiri Vesely	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Ilia Simakin - Mukund Sasikumar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WW?WW

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