Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BRATISLAVA 2 (SLOVAKIA), HARD (INDOOR) - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 13 October 2023, Friday


	Damir Dzumhur		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.83	1.87
	1.88	1.85	Watch
	1.94	1.93
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.85	Watch
	2.02	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.02)	1.84 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damir Dzumhur
49.1%

Luca Nardi
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damir Dzumhur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.4%	0%	52.6%

Damir Dzumhur - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Dzumhur will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Nardi will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nardi: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Dzumhur is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nardi is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dzumhur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Challenger
11.10.23	Zsombor Piros - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
09.10.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
ATP Astana
27.09.23	Alibek Kachmazov - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
26.09.23	Dominik Palan - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.09.23	Nerman Fatic - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWL
- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
11.10.23	Andrew Paulson - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
09.10.23	Luca Nardi - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:0 ✺
06.10.23	Tomas Machac - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
05.10.23	Luca Nardi - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
03.10.23	Adrien Gobat - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWW

Damir Dzumhur - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide