Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday


	Tom Paris		Dan Added

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.19	1.72
	2.40	1.53	Watch
			Watch
	2.12	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.67)	1.6 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tom Paris
41.3%

Dan Added
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tom Paris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tom Paris's form might have worsened.

Dan Added has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dan Added's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tom Paris than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tom Paris, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dan Added than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dan Added, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Tom Paris - Dan Added Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games - Paris (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Dan Added will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dan Added will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Added (votes: 8 - 88.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Paris is ranked ATP: 306. Added is ranked ATP: 272.

Paris is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Added has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Added may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paris won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Tom Paris - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.7%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tom Paris
ATP Challenger
17.09.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Tom Paris	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Tom Paris - Gregoire Barrere	2:1 ✺
15.09.25	Tom Paris - Maxime Janvier	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Tom Paris - Robin Catry	2:1 ✺
08.09.25	Tom Paris - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWL
- Dan Added
ATP Challenger
17.09.25	Dan Added - Harold Mayot	2:1 ✺
15.09.25	Dan Added - Kyrian Jacquet	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Dan Added - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Mae Malige - Dan Added	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Hamish Stewart - Dan Added	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.10.23	Dan Added - Tom Paris	1:2
12.10.23	Dan Added - Tom Paris	0:2

Tom Paris - Dan Added: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide