Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez, hard - Final

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday


	Dan Added		Moez Echargui

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.38	1.62
	4.82	1.16	Watch
	2.29	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.42)	1.45 ↓ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dan Added
32.4%

Moez Echargui
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

64.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dan Added has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dan Added's form might have worsened.

Moez Echargui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moez Echargui's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dan Added than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Dan Added - Moez Echargui Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Added will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Echargui will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Added: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Added (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Added is ranked ATP: 272. Echargui is ranked ATP: 175.

Added has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Echargui is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Echargui may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Echargui will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Echargui will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Added won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dan Added
ATP Challenger
20.09.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Dan Added	Added D. walkover ✺
19.09.25	Tom Paris - Dan Added	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Dan Added - Harold Mayot	2:1 ✺
15.09.25	Dan Added - Kyrian Jacquet	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Dan Added - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 ?WWWL
- Moez Echargui
ATP Challenger
20.09.25	Moez Echargui - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
19.09.25	Titouan Droguet - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Moez Echargui - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Olle Wallin - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.08.25	Moez Echargui - Dan Added	Added D. retired
ITF Tournaments
10.08.25	Moez Echargui - Dan Added	2:0

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