Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Dan Added		Mark Lajal

	1	2
	3.25	1.33
	3.1	1.33
	3.15	1.32
	3.07	1.32	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.21	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.62)	1.32 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dan Added
29.4%

Mark Lajal
70.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

71.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dan Added has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dan Added's form might have worsened.

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mark Lajal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dan Added than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (+1%)

Dan Added - Mark Lajal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Added is ranked ATP: 204. Lajal is ranked ATP: 160.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Added may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lajal is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Added won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Dan Added - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.25%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Mark Lajal - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.75%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dan Added
ATP Challenger
10.02.26	Dan Added - Lukas Klein	Added D. retired ✺
06.02.26	Christoph Negritu - Dan Added	2:1 ✺
05.02.26	Rudolf Molleker - Dan Added	1:2 ✺
04.02.26	Daniel Masur - Dan Added	1:2 ✺
27.01.26	Alex Molcan - Dan Added	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 ?LWWL
- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
26.02.26	Mark Lajal - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Mark Lajal - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Mark Lajal - Daniil Glinka	Lajal M. retired ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
08.02.26	Codie Van Schalkwyk - Mark Lajal	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
28.01.26	Mark Lajal - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LW??L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.03.23	Mark Lajal - Dan Added	0:2
ITF Tournaments
09.09.22	Dan Added - Mark Lajal	1:2

Dan Added - Mark Lajal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide