Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pau, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday


	Mark Lajal		Daniil Glinka

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.6	2.1	Watch
	1.76	2.13
	1.68	2.06	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.67	2.05	Watch
	1.77	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.14)	2.06 ↑ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mark Lajal
54.8%

Daniil Glinka
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mark Lajal's performance.

Daniil Glinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniil Glinka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mark Lajal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniil Glinka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Mark Lajal - Daniil Glinka Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lajal will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Glinka will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Glinka (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lajal is ranked ATP: 158. Glinka is ranked ATP: 167.

Recent performances by Lajal have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Glinka is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Glinka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniil Glinka - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.65%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mark Lajal
Davis Cup World Group II
08.02.26	Codie Van Schalkwyk - Mark Lajal	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
28.01.26	Mark Lajal - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
21.01.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
20.01.26	Mark Lajal - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
19.01.26	Mark Lajal - Oleg Prihodko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 ?LLWW
- Daniil Glinka
ATP Challenger
01.02.26	Chris Rodesch - Daniil Glinka	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Daniil Glinka - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Daniil Glinka	1:2 ✺
28.01.26	Daniil Glinka - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Gastao Elias - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWW

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