Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Saint Brieuc, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday


	Mark Lajal		Pierre-Hugues Herbert

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.52	2.36	Watch
	1.57	2.51
	1.51	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.54	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.55)	2.39 ↑ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mark Lajal
60.9%

Pierre-Hugues Herbert
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Pierre-Hugues Herbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pierre-Hugues Herbert than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Mark Lajal - Pierre Hugues Herbert Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Lajal will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Herbert will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pierre-Hugues Herbert will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lajal is ranked ATP: 160. Herbert is ranked ATP: 182.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Lajal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lajal will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lajal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Mark Lajal - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 59.74%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Pierre-Hugues Herbert - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.26%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Mark Lajal - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Mark Lajal - Daniil Glinka	Lajal M. retired ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
08.02.26	Codie Van Schalkwyk - Mark Lajal	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
28.01.26	Mark Lajal - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
21.01.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 W??LL
- Pierre-Hugues Herbert
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Raphael Perot - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
16.02.26	Valentin Royer - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
14.01.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.02.24	Mark Lajal - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	Canceled
03.11.23	Mark Lajal - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:1
30.10.23	Mark Lajal - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	0:2
24.07.23	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Mark Lajal	0:2

Mark Lajal - Pierre-Hugues Herbert: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide