Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jingshan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday


	Omar Jasika		Dane Sweeny

	1	2
	2.50	1.50	Watch
	2.75	1.40
	2.88	1.40	Watch
	2.43	1.49	Watch
	5.35	1.17
	2.69	1.41	Watch
	2.40	1.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.12)	1.41 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omar Jasika
32%

Dane Sweeny
68%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omar Jasika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Omar Jasika's form might have worsened.

Dane Sweeny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dane Sweeny's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omar Jasika than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Omar Jasika, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dane Sweeny, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Omar Jasika - Dane Sweeny Predictions

Users Predictions: Dane Sweeny will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jasika is ranked ATP: 428., and Sweeny is ranked ATP: 110..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jasika won 3.

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Sweeny could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Sweeny is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Jasika has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:7 (averaging 1.4:1 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Dane Sweeny - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 56.53%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omar Jasika
ATP Challenger
28.09.26	Omar Jasika - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Omar Jasika - Chase Ferguson	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
22.09.26	Alex Bolt - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Omar Jasika	Jasika O. Retired ✺
11.09.26	Omar Jasika - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWL?L
- Dane Sweeny
ATP Hangzhou
24.09.26	Dane Sweeny - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
05.09.26	Luciano Darderi - Dane Sweeny	3:0 ✺
03.09.26	Dane Sweeny - Lorenzo Musetti	3:1 ✺
01.09.26	Dane Sweeny - Corentin Moutet	Moutet C. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Jesper De Jong - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.8 LLW?L

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
20.03.25	Omar Jasika - Dane Sweeny	1:2
14.03.25	Omar Jasika - Dane Sweeny	2:0
ATP Challenger
01.02.24	Omar Jasika - Dane Sweeny	2:0
05.07.23	Dane Sweeny - Omar Jasika	0:2
ITF Tournaments
25.09.22	Omar Jasika - Dane Sweeny	1:2
30.03.22	Omar Jasika - Dane Sweeny	2:1
10.02.22	Omar Jasika - Dane Sweeny	0:2

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