Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Brussels, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Romania	Prima Sport 4


	Daniel Altmaier		Gilles Arnaud Bailly

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.46	2.7	Watch
	1.49	2.78
	1.43	2.73	Watch
	1.37	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.42)	2.81 ↓ (2.9)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Altmaier
66.2%

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Altmaier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Daniel Altmaier - Gilles Arnaud Bailly Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Altmaier (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Bailly (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Daniel Altmaier will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Altmaier (votes: 1 - 50%). Bailly (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Altmaier is ranked ATP: 51. Bailly is ranked ATP: 247.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Altmaier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Altmaier is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Altmaier won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Daniel Altmaier - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
25.09.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Daniel Altmaier - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.25	Daniel Altmaier - Alex De Minaur	Altmaier D. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LWLW?
- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ATP Brussels
13.10.25	Valentin Royer - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Eliakim Coulibaly	1:2 ✺
06.10.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Adrian Andreev	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Federico Iannaccone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Antwerp
16.10.24	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Daniel Altmaier	0:2

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