Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	22:05	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	22:05	HBO Max
Bulgaria	23:05	HBO Max
Croatia	22:05	HBO Max
Czech Republic	22:05	HBO Max
Denmark	22:05	HBO Max
Finland	23:05	HBO Max
France	22:05	HBO Max
Hungary	22:05	HBO Max
Moldova	23:05	HBO Max
Montenegro	22:05	HBO Max
Netherlands	22:05	HBO Max
North Macedonia	22:05	HBO Max
Norway	22:05	HBO Max
Poland	22:05	HBO Max
Romania	23:05	HBO Max
Serbia	22:05	HBO Max
Slovenia	22:05	HBO Max
Spain	22:05	HBO Max
Sweden	22:05	HBO Max


	Daniel Altmaier		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	11	1.05	Watch
	10	1.04
	11	1.04	Watch
	13.91	1.05
	10.41	1.04	Watch
	9	1.06
	13.5	1.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.26 ↑ (6.29)	1.05 ↓ (1.1)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Altmaier
8.5%

Alex De Minaur
91.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

14.8%

85.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Altmaier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Altmaier's form might have worsened.

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex De Minaur's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	0%	18.7%

Daniel Altmaier - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Altmaier will win (votes: 12 - 80%). De Minaur will win (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Altmaier: 59.8% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Sets - Altmaier (2.32) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Daniel Altmaier will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Altmaier (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Altmaier is ranked ATP: 56. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 8.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, De Minaur is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Altmaier won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Altmaier
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Daniel Altmaier	2:3 ✺
26.08.25	Daniel Altmaier - Hamad Medjedovic	3:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.08.25	Daniel Altmaier - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
14.08.25	Daniel Altmaier - Yannick Hanfmann	2:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
08.08.25	Daniel Altmaier - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWLWL
- Alex De Minaur
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Alex De Minaur	0:3 ✺
26.08.25	Christopher OConnell - Alex De Minaur	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Alex De Minaur - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
05.08.25	Alex De Minaur - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
03.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rotterdam
07.02.25	Daniel Altmaier - Alex De Minaur	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Basel
29.10.26	Daniel Altmaier - Jiri Lehecka	✺

Daniel Altmaier - Alex De Minaur