Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 5, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday


	Gilles Arnaud Bailly		Eliakim Coulibaly

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
			Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.66	2.25
	1.69	2.10	Watch
			Watch
	1.62	2.22	Watch
	1.57	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.84)	2.22 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
57.9%

Eliakim Coulibaly
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gilles Arnaud Bailly's performance.

Eliakim Coulibaly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eliakim Coulibaly might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gilles Arnaud Bailly that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eliakim Coulibaly than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eliakim Coulibaly could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Eliakim Coulibaly Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Bailly (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4.5 Games - Coulibaly (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bailly (votes: 1 - 50%). Coulibaly (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bailly is ranked ATP: 252. Coulibaly is ranked ATP: 305.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bailly may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ATP Challenger
06.10.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Adrian Andreev	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Federico Iannaccone	0:2 ✺
22.09.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Lorenzo Sciahbasi	1:2 ✺
18.09.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Mika Petkovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLW
- Eliakim Coulibaly
ATP Challenger
06.10.25	Maxim Mrva - Eliakim Coulibaly	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Eliakim Coulibaly	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Christoph Negritu - Eliakim Coulibaly	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Hugo Gaston - Eliakim Coulibaly	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWLW

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