Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Basel (Switzerland), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2024, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	Eurosport 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV2


	Daniel Altmaier		Arthur Fils

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.8	1.25
	3.65	1.27	Watch
	4.1	1.26
	3.64	1.3	Watch
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.72	1.28	Watch
	3.65	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.36)	1.28 ↓ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Altmaier
25.5%

Arthur Fils
74.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

71.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Altmaier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Altmaier, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Fils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Daniel Altmaier - Arthur Fils Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Altmaier will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Fils will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fils: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Altmaier is ranked ATP: 84. Fils is ranked ATP: 20.

Recent matches Altmaier is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fils is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fils could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fils is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Fils to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Altmaier won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Basel
20.10.24	Daniel Altmaier - Jacob Fearnley	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Jesper De Jong - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
19.10.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Daniel Altmaier	Canceled ✺
ATP Antwerp
17.10.24	Jiri Lehecka - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
16.10.24	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WW?LW
- Arthur Fils
ATP Shanghai
04.10.24	Arthur Fils - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
01.10.24	Arthur Fils - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
30.09.24	Arthur Fils - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Arthur Fils - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
27.09.24	Arthur Fils - Matteo Berrettini	Berrettini M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
26.04.24	Daniel Altmaier - Arthur Fils	2:0
ATP Barcelona
17.04.24	Daniel Altmaier - Arthur Fils	1:2
ATP Auckland
11.01.24	Arthur Fils - Daniel Altmaier	Altmaier D. retired
ATP Paris
31.10.23	Daniel Altmaier - Arthur Fils	2:0

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