Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday


	Daniel Altmaier		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.54
	1.4	2.7	Watch
	1.34	3.36
	1.43	2.76	Watch
			Watch
	1.48	2.68	Watch
	1.4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.57)	2.79 ↑ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Altmaier
66.2%

Luca Van Assche
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Altmaier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Altmaier's performance.

Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Van Assche might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Altmaier that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Van Assche could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Daniel Altmaier - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Altmaier (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Daniel Altmaier will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Altmaier is ranked ATP: 68. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 173.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Altmaier could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Altmaier will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Altmaier won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Munich
16.04.25	Alexander Zverev - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
14.04.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Daniel Altmaier	Canceled
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.25	Daniel Altmaier - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
09.04.25	Daniel Altmaier - Richard Gasquet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LW?LW
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
16.04.25	Gregoire Barrere - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Luca Van Assche - Vitaliy Sachko	1:2 ✺
11.04.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
09.04.25	Luca Van Assche - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
08.04.25	Andrea Picchione - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.24	Daniel Altmaier - Luca Van Assche	2:1

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