Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday


	Luca Van Assche		Mili Poljicak

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.71	2.02	Watch
	1.67	2.15	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.73	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.64)	2.06 ↑ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
54.9%

Mili Poljicak
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Mili Poljicak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mili Poljicak than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Luca Van Assche - Mili Poljicak Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Van Assche will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Poljicak will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Poljicak: 35.2% – 92%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games - Poljicak (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mili Poljicak will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Poljicak (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Van Assche is ranked ATP: 188. Poljicak is ranked ATP: 275.

Recent matches Van Assche is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Poljicak is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Poljicak could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Luca Van Assche - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 54.44%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
08.04.25	Andrea Picchione - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
07.03.25	Arthur Bouquier - Luca Van Assche	Bouquier A. walkover ✺
06.03.25	Matteo Martineau - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
04.03.25	Hugo Grenier - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
28.02.25	Luca Van Assche - Murphy Cassone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 W?WWL
- Mili Poljicak
ATP Challenger
08.04.25	Mili Poljicak - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
07.04.25	Mili Poljicak - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Mili Poljicak - Fausto Tabacco	2:0 ✺
03.04.25	Maxim Mrva - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Mili Poljicak - Gregoire Barrere	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWLW

Luca Van Assche - Mili Poljicak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide