Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday


	Federico Arnaboldi		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.4	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.46	Watch
	2.6	1.48	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.56	1.47	Watch
	2.55	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.54)	1.46 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Arnaboldi
36.4%

Luca Van Assche
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Arnaboldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Federico Arnaboldi - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Arnaboldi will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Van Assche will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaboldi: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Arnaboldi (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Van Assche (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 217. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 188.

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Van Assche could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Van Assche will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Van Assche to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
09.04.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
07.04.25	Matej Dodig - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
28.03.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
26.03.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:1 ✺
25.03.25	Tristan Boyer - Federico Arnaboldi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWLWW
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
09.04.25	Luca Van Assche - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
08.04.25	Andrea Picchione - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
07.03.25	Arthur Bouquier - Luca Van Assche	Bouquier A. walkover ✺
06.03.25	Matteo Martineau - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
04.03.25	Hugo Grenier - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WW?WW

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