Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Plovdiv, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 June 2026, Tuesday


	Daniel Dutra da Silva		Petr Nesterov

	1	2
			Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.16	1.66
	2.33	1.63
	2.19	1.59	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.18	1.61	Watch
	2.06	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.1)	1.62 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Dutra da Silva
42.5%

Petr Nesterov
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Dutra da Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Dutra da Silva than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Dutra da Silva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petr Nesterov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Daniel Dutra da Silva - Petr Nesterov Predictions

Users Predictions: Petr Nesterov will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dutra da Silva is ranked ATP: 417. Nesterov is ranked ATP: 396.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Dutra da Silva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nesterov will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Dutra da Silva
ITF Tournaments
12.06.26	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Denis Petak	0:2 ✺
10.06.26	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Matyas Kozlovsky	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.06.26	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Andrej Martin	0:2 ✺
31.05.26	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Marko Bekeni	2:1 ✺
26.05.26	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Liam Broady	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLWL
- Petr Nesterov
ITF Tournaments
18.06.26	Fausto Tabacco - Petr Nesterov	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.06.26	Petr Nesterov - Marco Cecchinato	0:2 ✺
08.06.26	Petr Nesterov - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:1 ✺
07.06.26	Petr Nesterov - Michele Mecarelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWW

Daniel Dutra da Silva - Petr Nesterov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide