Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Milano, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 June 2026, Thursday


	Fausto Tabacco		Petr Nesterov

	1	2
			Watch
	2.65	1.40
	2.70	1.41
	2.75	1.46
	2.58	1.43	Watch
	2.62	1.40
	2.59	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.47)	1.42 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fausto Tabacco
35%

Petr Nesterov
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fausto Tabacco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fausto Tabacco than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Fausto Tabacco - Petr Nesterov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Tabacco is ranked ATP: 710. Nesterov is ranked ATP: 396.

Tabacco has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Nesterov has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nesterov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nesterov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Petr Nesterov - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 62.43%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fausto Tabacco
ITF Tournaments
17.06.26	Luca Potenza - Fausto Tabacco	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Fausto Tabacco - Kirill Kivattsev	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Gabriele Piraino - Fausto Tabacco	0:2 ✺
12.06.26	Maxence Rivet - Fausto Tabacco	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Fausto Tabacco - Alexandre Reco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWW
- Petr Nesterov
ITF Tournaments
17.06.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.06.26	Petr Nesterov - Marco Cecchinato	0:2 ✺
08.06.26	Petr Nesterov - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:1 ✺
07.06.26	Petr Nesterov - Michele Mecarelli	2:0 ✺
25.05.26	Petr Nesterov - Samuele Pieri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWL

Fausto Tabacco - Petr Nesterov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide