Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Houston, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 April 2025, Tuesday


	Daniel Elahi Galan		Mackenzie McDonald

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.67	2.18
	1.6	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.31	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.64	2.28	Watch
	1.6	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2.03)	2.25 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Elahi Galan
57.9%

Mackenzie McDonald
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Elahi Galan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Elahi Galan's performance.

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mackenzie McDonald might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Elahi Galan than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Elahi Galan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mackenzie McDonald could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.5%	0%	6.5%

Daniel Elahi Galan - Mackenzie McDonald Predictions

Users Predictions: Daniel Elahi Galan will win (58 of 62 users predict this - 93.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.44% – 99.66%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Galan is ranked ATP: 110. McDonald is ranked ATP: 101.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Galan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Galan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Elahi Galan
ATP Challenger
28.03.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
25.03.25	Remy Bertola - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
21.03.25	Daniel Vallejo - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLW
- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Miami
19.03.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Nick Kyrgios	1:2 ✺
18.03.25	Pavel Kotov - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
17.03.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Mackenzie McDonald	Basilashvili N. retired ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
06.03.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
23.03.23	Daniel Elahi Galan - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2
ATP Adelaide
01.01.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Daniel Elahi Galan	Galan D. E. retired
ATP Challenger
14.05.21	Daniel Elahi Galan - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1

Daniel Elahi Galan - Mackenzie McDonald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide