Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 18 March 2025, Tuesday


	Pavel Kotov		Mackenzie McDonald

	1	2
			Watch
	2.54	1.48	Watch
	2.65	1.43	Watch
	2.69	1.45	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.66	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.6)	1.45 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
35.4%

Mackenzie McDonald
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Mackenzie McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Pavel Kotov - Mackenzie McDonald Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). McDonald will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for McDonald: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kotov is ranked ATP: 102. McDonald is ranked ATP: 101.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Kotov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

McDonald will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Mackenzie McDonald - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 63.73%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Miami
17.03.25	Pavel Kotov - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.25	Pavel Kotov - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.25	Colton Smith - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
03.03.25	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
23.02.25	Quentin Halys - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLWL
- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Miami
17.03.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Mackenzie McDonald	Basilashvili N. retired ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
06.03.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.03.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 ?LWLW

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