Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CAGLIARI (ITALY), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday


	Daniel Elahi Galan		Ugo Humbert

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.74	2.2
	1.73	2
	1.66	2.16	Watch
	1.75	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.08)	2.08 ↑ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Elahi Galan
54.7%

Ugo Humbert
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Elahi Galan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Elahi Galan's performance.

Ugo Humbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ugo Humbert might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Elahi Galan than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Elahi Galan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ugo Humbert could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	0%	29.4%

Daniel Elahi Galan - Ugo Humbert Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Galan will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Humbert will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Galan: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Humbert could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Elahi Galan
ATP Challenger
05.05.23	Daniel Elahi Galan - Borna Gojo	2:1 ✺
04.05.23	Yoshihito Nishioka - Daniel Elahi Galan	1:2 ✺
03.05.23	Flavio Cobolli - Daniel Elahi Galan	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.23	Alexander Bublik - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.04.23	Daniel Elahi Galan - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWLL
- Ugo Humbert
ATP Challenger
05.05.23	Taro Daniel - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
04.05.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Ugo Humbert	Pellegrino A. retired ✺
03.05.23	Gianluca Mager - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.23	Emil Ruusuvuori - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
18.04.23	Christopher OConnell - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 W?WLL

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