Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon (United Kingdom), grass - 1/64-finals

Date: 3 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: All England Club (London)


	Daniel Evans		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.7	1.42	Watch
	3.16	1.41
	4.19	1.21	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	4.27	1.17	Watch
	4.15	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (2.18)	1.33 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Evans
28.3%

Alejandro Tabilo
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Evans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Evans's form might have worsened.

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Tabilo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Evans than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Evans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Tabilo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Daniel Evans - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Users Predictions: Alejandro Tabilo will win (36 of 44 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.42% – 93.22%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Recent matches Evans is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tabilo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Evans could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tabilo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Tabilo to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Evans
ATP London
18.06.24	Daniel Evans - Brandon Nakashima	Evans D. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
15.06.24	Charles Broom - Daniel Evans	2:1 ✺
12.06.24	Henry Searle - Daniel Evans	0:2 ✺
11.06.24	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Daniel Evans	1:2 ✺
06.06.24	Zachary Svajda - Daniel Evans	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 ?LWWL
- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Mallorca
29.06.24	Sebastian Ofner - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
28.06.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
27.06.24	Jakub Mensik - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
26.06.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
ATP London
20.06.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWL

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