Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday


	Alejandro Tabilo		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	3.40	1.33	Watch
	3.10	1.36
	3.15	1.36	Watch
	3.08	1.35	Watch
	3.10	1.38
	3.18	1.39	Watch
	3.15	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (3.4)	1.36 ↑ (1.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
30%

Tommy Paul
70%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

72.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Alejandro Tabilo - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: Tommy Paul will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tabilo is ranked ATP: 31., and Paul is ranked ATP: 16..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Tabilo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Paul carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Tabilo has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:4 (averaging 0.5:2 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Chengdu
25.09.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
20.09.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Rafael Jodar	Canceled ✺
19.09.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
05.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Tabilo	3:0 ✺
03.09.26	Alexei Popyrin - Alejandro Tabilo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 L?LLW
- Tommy Paul
ATP US Open
06.09.26	Tommy Paul - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
04.09.26	Alexander Bublik - Tommy Paul	2:3 ✺
02.09.26	Dino Prizmic - Tommy Paul	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Tommy Paul	1:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
20.08.26	Tommy Paul - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
06.10.24	Tommy Paul - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1
ATP London
20.06.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Tommy Paul	0:2

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