Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Mallorca (Spain), grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 June 2024, Thursday

Referee: Concas R. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport Docu
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 4, SportKlub 5


	Jakub Mensik		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.27	1.59	Watch
	2.45	1.62
	2.45	1.62
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.19	1.69	Watch
	2.32	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.09)	1.62 ↓ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
41.2%

Alejandro Tabilo
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Jakub Mensik - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Mensik will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Tabilo will win (votes: 15 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tabilo: 56% – 94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Mensik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Mallorca
26.06.24	Jakub Mensik - Fabio Fognini	2:1 ✺
25.06.24	Christopher Eubanks - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
ATP Halle
15.06.24	Jakub Mensik - Oscar Otte	0:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
11.06.24	Jakub Mensik - Gijs Brouwer	1:2 ✺
10.06.24	Jakub Mensik - Roberto Carballes Baena	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLL?
- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Mallorca
26.06.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
ATP London
20.06.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
18.06.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Zizou Bergs	1:3 ✺
ATP Roma
17.05.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLL

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