Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: London, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 June 2025, Wednesday


	Daniel Evans		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
			Watch
	3.17	1.4
			Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	2.98	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.2)	1.4 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Evans
31.9%

Brandon Nakashima
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Evans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Evans than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Daniel Evans - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Evans will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Nakashima will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Evans: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Evans (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3 Games - Evans (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Daniel Evans will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Evans (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Nakashima (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Evans is ranked ATP: 199. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 32.

Evans is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Nakashima has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Evans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nakashima is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Evans won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Brandon Nakashima - the odds 1.37 are the expected chance of winning is 70.07%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Evans
ATP London
16.06.25	Francis Tiafoe - Daniel Evans	0:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
12.06.25	Daniel Evans - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Rinky Hijikata - Daniel Evans	1:2 ✺
09.06.25	Daniel Evans - Mees Rottgering	2:1 ✺
08.06.25	Adam Walton - Daniel Evans	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLWWW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP London
17.06.25	Brandon Nakashima - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:1 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
13.06.25	Alexander Zverev - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
12.06.25	Learner Tien - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
09.06.25	Jacob Fearnley - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.25	Mariano Navone - Brandon Nakashima	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP London
18.06.24	Daniel Evans - Brandon Nakashima	Evans D. retired
ATP Barcelona
15.04.24	Daniel Evans - Brandon Nakashima	0:2
ATP Paris
01.11.22	Daniel Evans - Brandon Nakashima	2:1
ATP Washington
04.08.21	Brandon Nakashima - Daniel Evans	2:0

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