Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Barletta, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 April 2025, Thursday


	Daniel Evans		Jacopo Berrettini

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.81	1.89	Watch
	1.81	1.96	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.81	1.92	Watch
	1.81	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.54)	1.95 ↓ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Evans
52.2%

Jacopo Berrettini
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Evans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Evans's form might have worsened.

Jacopo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jacopo Berrettini's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Evans than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Evans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacopo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jacopo Berrettini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Daniel Evans - Jacopo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Evans will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Berrettini will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Berrettini: 73.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Evans is ranked ATP: 204. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 315.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Evans could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Evans
ATP Challenger
02.04.25	Daniel Evans - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
25.03.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Daniel Evans	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
24.02.25	Daniel Evans - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.02.25	Daniel Rincon - Daniel Evans	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Stuart Parker - Daniel Evans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLW
- Jacopo Berrettini
ATP Challenger
02.04.25	Andrea Picchione - Jacopo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
24.03.25	Giovanni Fonio - Jacopo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Gianluca Mager - Jacopo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Lilian Marmousez	1:2 ✺
24.02.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Kasidit Samrej	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLL

Daniel Evans - Jacopo Berrettini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide