Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 May 2025, Tuesday


	Lorenzo Musetti		Daniil Medvedev

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.55	Watch
	1.52	2.5	Watch
	1.54	2.67
	1.54	2.49	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.52	Watch
	1.52	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.69)	2.55 ↑ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
62.6%

Daniil Medvedev
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Musetti's performance.

Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniil Medvedev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	0%	6.2%

Lorenzo Musetti - Daniil Medvedev Predictions

Users Predictions: Lorenzo Musetti will win (30 of 32 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lorenzo Musetti will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Musetti is ranked ATP: 9. Medvedev is ranked ATP: 11.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Musetti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Musetti will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Musetti won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Roma
11.05.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
09.05.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
02.05.25	Jack Draper - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Alex De Minaur - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW
- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Roma
11.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
09.05.25	Cameron Norrie - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
01.05.25	Casper Ruud - Daniil Medvedev	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Daniil Medvedev - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Daniil Medvedev - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
16.08.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Daniil Medvedev	0:2
ATP Toronto
10.08.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Daniil Medvedev	0:2

Lorenzo Musetti - Daniil Medvedev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide