Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech (Morocco), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 April 2024, Thursday

Referee: Concas R. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Daniel Evans		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.5	1.52	Watch
	2.56	1.56
	2.56	1.56
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.59	1.51	Watch
	2.5	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (1.91)	1.53 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Evans
37.8%

Roberto Carballes Baena
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Evans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Evans's form might have worsened.

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Carballes Baena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Evans than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Evans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Daniel Evans - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Evans will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Evans: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are in a poor body shape now.

Carballes Baena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Carballes Baena will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Evans won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Evans
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Daniel Evans - Christopher Eubanks	1:2 ✺
21.03.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Daniel Evans	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.24	Roman Safiullin - Daniel Evans	2:1 ✺
ATP Acapulco
26.02.24	Daniel Evans - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
21.02.24	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Daniel Evans	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Marrakech
02.04.24	Matteo Gigante - Roberto Carballes Baena	Gigante M. retired ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
21.03.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.24	Constant Lestienne - Roberto Carballes Baena	Carballes Baena R. retired ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.24	Daniil Medvedev - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 ?LW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
13.05.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Daniel Evans	2:1
ATP Marrakech
08.04.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Daniel Evans	2:1

Daniel Evans - Roberto Carballes Baena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide