Match Info

Date: 24 March 2021, Wednesday


	Daniel Masur		Illya Marchenko

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.87	1.93
	1.89	1.78
	2.01	1.82
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.87	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.91)	1.85 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Masur
49.6%

Illya Marchenko
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Masur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Illya Marchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Masur than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.4%	0%	48.6%

Daniel Masur - Illya Marchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Masur will win (votes: 18 - 51.4%). Marchenko will win (votes: 17 - 48.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Masur: 34.8% – 68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Marchenko has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Masur is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Masur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Marchenko won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Masur
ATP Challenger
21.03.21	Daniel Masur - Matthias Bachinger	2:1 ✺
20.03.21	Illya Marchenko - Daniel Masur	0:2 ✺
19.03.21	Daniel Masur - Sergiy Stakhovsky	2:0 ✺
17.03.21	Daniel Masur - Jonas Forejtek	2:1 ✺
16.03.21	Yuichi Sugita - Daniel Masur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWW
- Illya Marchenko
ATP Challenger
20.03.21	Illya Marchenko - Daniel Masur	0:2 ✺
19.03.21	Illya Marchenko - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
18.03.21	Lucas Pouille - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
16.03.21	Illya Marchenko - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
13.03.21	Illya Marchenko - Liam Broady	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.03.21	Illya Marchenko - Daniel Masur	0:2
30.08.19	Illya Marchenko - Daniel Masur	0:2

Daniel Masur - Illya Marchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide