Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Modena (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 July 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Souza F. (Bra)


	Daniel Merida Aguilar		Enrico Dalla Valle

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.2	1.57	Watch
	2.6	1.52
	2.6	1.46
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.33	1.57	Watch
	2.22	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.45)	1.54 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Merida Aguilar
39.4%

Enrico Dalla Valle
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Enrico Dalla Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Enrico Dalla Valle than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Enrico Dalla Valle Predictions

Users Predictions: Enrico Dalla Valle will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Merida Aguilar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Dalla Valle will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Challenger
01.07.24	Marcello Serafini - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
30.06.24	Ivan Sabanov - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
18.06.24	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
18.06.24	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Maxence Beauge	2:0 ✺
10.06.24	Federico Agustin Gomez - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWL
- Enrico Dalla Valle
ATP Challenger
28.06.24	Enrico Dalla Valle - Filip Cristian Jianu	1:2 ✺
27.06.24	Enrico Dalla Valle - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
27.06.24	Enrico Dalla Valle - Giovanni Fonio	Fonio G. retired ✺
26.06.24	Enrico Dalla Valle - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
20.06.24	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LW?WL

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