Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Royan, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 June 2025, Wednesday


	Daniel Merida Aguilar		Florent Bax

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.36	2.9	Watch
			Watch
	1.39	3.06
			Watch
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.36	2.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.43)	3.12 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Merida Aguilar
69.8%

Florent Bax
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Florent Bax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florent Bax than the current prediction. (+2%)

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Florent Bax Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 250. Bax is ranked ATP: 369.

Merida Aguilar is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bax is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bax may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Merida Aguilar is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merida Aguilar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Merida Aguilar - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 65.79%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Matej Dodig	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
14.06.25	Gauthier Onclin - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
13.06.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
11.06.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Henri Squire	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWWW
- Florent Bax
ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Florent Bax	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.05.25	Florent Bax - Jelle Sels	Bax F. retired ✺
29.05.25	Axel Garcian - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
28.05.25	Adan Freire Da Silva - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
26.05.25	Oliver Bonding - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 W?WWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.06.24	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Florent Bax	0:2

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