Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 June 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Fratta A. (Ita)


	Enrico Dalla Valle		Ignacio Buse

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	2.5	1.48	Watch
	2.95	1.35	Watch
	2.75	1.47
	2.75	1.47
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	3.84	1.2	Watch
	3.8	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.25)	1.36 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Enrico Dalla Valle
30.7%

Ignacio Buse
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Enrico Dalla Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Enrico Dalla Valle's form might have worsened.

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ignacio Buse's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Enrico Dalla Valle than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Enrico Dalla Valle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ignacio Buse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Enrico Dalla Valle - Ignacio Buse Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dalla Valle will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Buse will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Dalla Valle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Buse will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Enrico Dalla Valle
ATP Challenger
20.06.24	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:1 ✺
18.06.24	Enrico Dalla Valle - Oriol Roca Batalla	2:0 ✺
11.06.24	Enrico Dalla Valle - Fabio Fognini	1:2 ✺
07.06.24	Oriol Roca Batalla - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
06.06.24	Enrico Dalla Valle - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWLLW
- Ignacio Buse
ATP Challenger
24.06.24	Ignacio Buse - Riccardo Bonadio	2:0 ✺
23.06.24	Ignacio Buse - Alexey Zakharov	2:0 ✺
19.06.24	Ignacio Buse - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
18.06.24	Jiri Vesely - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.05.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWL

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