Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 23 May 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Henrique Rocha		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	2.75	1.4
	2.75	1.42
	2.9	1.35	Watch
	2.88	1.43
	2.89	1.41	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.82	1.43	Watch
	2.9	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.19)	1.4 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
33.3%

Luca Van Assche
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Henrique Rocha's form might have worsened.

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Van Assche's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Henrique Rocha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Van Assche, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	0%	86.7%

Henrique Rocha - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Rocha (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Luca Van Assche will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luca Van Assche will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Rocha (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Van Assche (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rocha is ranked ATP: 201. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 179.

Rocha is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Van Assche is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Van Assche may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Van Assche could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Van Assche will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Robin Bertrand - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.05.25	Gastao Elias - Henrique Rocha	2:1 ✺
13.05.25	Henrique Rocha - Kenny De Schepper	2:0 ✺
13.05.25	Henrique Rocha - Jaime Faria	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLW?
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.25	Timofey Skatov - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
20.05.25	Luca Van Assche - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.05.25	Luca Van Assche - Dino Prizmic	van Assche L. retired ✺
16.05.25	Luka Pavlovic - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
16.05.25	Luca Van Assche - Filip Misolic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WW?WW

Henrique Rocha - Luca Van Assche: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide