Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Doha (Qatar) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday


	Daniel Merida Aguilar		Mikhail Kukushkin

	1	2
			Watch
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	2.78	1.46
	2.81	1.41	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.99	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.31)	1.39 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Merida Aguilar
32.8%

Mikhail Kukushkin
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Merida Aguilar's form might have worsened.

Mikhail Kukushkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mikhail Kukushkin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Merida Aguilar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mikhail Kukushkin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Mikhail Kukushkin Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Kukushkin will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 281. Kukushkin is ranked ATP: 110.

Merida Aguilar is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kukushkin is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kukushkin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kukushkin is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Merida Aguilar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Challenger
03.02.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.01.25	Tibo Colson - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
25.01.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Hynek Barton	2:0 ✺
24.01.25	Cem Ilkel - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
23.01.25	Stefan Palosi - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWWW
- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
12.02.25	Andrea Vavassori - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1 ✺
11.02.25	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
02.02.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
01.02.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
ATP Montpellier
29.01.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Mikhail Kukushkin	Kukushkin M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.03.24	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Mikhail Kukushkin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide