Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8, clay - Final

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Daniel Michalski		Laurent Lokoli

	1	2
			Watch
	1.60	2.15
	1.60	2.18
	1.6	2.17	Watch
	1.61	2.25
	1.62	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.65)	2.17 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Michalski
57.5%

Laurent Lokoli
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Michalski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Laurent Lokoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Michalski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laurent Lokoli than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Laurent Lokoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Daniel Michalski - Laurent Lokoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Michalski is ranked ATP: 281., and Lokoli is ranked ATP: 375..

Michalski has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Lokoli has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Lokoli could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Michalski - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.65%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Michalski
ITF Tournaments
25.09.26	Daniel Michalski - Eric Vanshelboim	2:0 ✺
25.09.26	Daniel Michalski - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Daniel Michalski - Giacomo Crisostomo	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Daniel Michalski - Lorenzo Beraldo	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Marvin Moeller - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWWL
- Laurent Lokoli
ITF Tournaments
25.09.26	Daniele Rapagnetta - Laurent Lokoli	0:2 ✺
24.09.26	Andrea de Marchi - Laurent Lokoli	de Marchi A. Retired ✺
23.09.26	Pasquale De Giorgio - Laurent Lokoli	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Marco Dessi - Laurent Lokoli	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Ugo Blanchet - Laurent Lokoli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 W?WWL

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