Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Seville - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday


	Gerard Campana Lee		Lorenzo Carboni

	1	2
			Watch
	1.78	1.90
	1.77	1.94	Watch
	1.86	1.99
	1.79	1.91	Watch
	1.81	1.95
	1.77	1.92	Watch
	1.76	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.01)	1.93 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gerard Campana Lee
51.9%

Lorenzo Carboni
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gerard Campana Lee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gerard Campana Lee's performance.

Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Carboni might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gerard Campana Lee than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Gerard Campana Lee - Lorenzo Carboni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Campana Lee is ranked ATP: 541. Carboni is ranked ATP: 482.

In recent matches, Campana Lee has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Carboni is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Campana Lee may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Carboni will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Gerard Campana Lee - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 45.82%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gerard Campana Lee
ITF Tournaments
28.08.26	Gerard Campana Lee - Filip Pieczonka	0:2 ✺
27.08.26	Gerard Campana Lee - Valentin Basel	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Gerard Campana Lee - Jiri Cizek	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Gerard Campana Lee - Alex Marti Pujolras	0:2 ✺
17.08.26	Gerard Campana Lee - Theo Papamalamis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWLW
- Lorenzo Carboni
ATP Challenger
01.09.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Pedro Martinez Portero	Carboni L. Retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.08.26	Andrey Chepelev - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
28.08.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Noah Karma	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Nicolas Ulrich	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Arthur Bellegy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 ?LWWW

Gerard Campana Lee - Lorenzo Carboni: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide