Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Como, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Lorenzo Carboni		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	3.20	1.30
	3.50	1.28
	3.40	1.35
	3.53	1.25	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.35	1.28	Watch
	2.48	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.44)	1.32 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Carboni
29%

Pedro Martinez Portero
71%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Carboni's form might have worsened.

Pedro Martinez Portero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pedro Martinez Portero's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Carboni, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pedro Martinez Portero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lorenzo Carboni - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Carboni is ranked ATP: 478. Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 148.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Martinez Portero may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Martinez Portero will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carboni won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Pedro Martinez Portero - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 62.24%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Carboni
ITF Tournaments
29.08.26	Andrey Chepelev - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
28.08.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Noah Karma	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Nicolas Ulrich	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Arthur Bellegy	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.08.26	Daniel Michalski - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWWWL
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.08.26	Valentin Royer - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Daniil Glinka	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
19.08.26	Garrett Johns - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.10.23	Lorenzo Carboni - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2

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