Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday


	Daniel Michalski		Marat Sharipov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.92	1.79	Watch
	1.97	1.87
	1.88	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.85)	1.82 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Michalski
48.9%

Marat Sharipov
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Michalski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Marat Sharipov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marat Sharipov than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Daniel Michalski - Marat Sharipov Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Michalski will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sharipov will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Michalski is ranked ATP: 294. Sharipov is ranked ATP: 363.

Michalski is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sharipov is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Sharipov will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Michalski won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Marat Sharipov - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Michalski
ATP Challenger
10.05.26	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Marco Cecchinato - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.04.26	Daniel Michalski - Francesco Forti	0:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
30.03.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Marat Sharipov
ATP Challenger
03.05.26	Marat Sharipov - Ognjen Milic	Milic O. Walkover ✺
03.05.26	Marat Sharipov - Shinji Hazawa	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Mark Lajal - Marat Sharipov	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Bernard Tomic - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Marat Sharipov - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 ?WLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.01.26	Marat Sharipov - Daniel Michalski	2:0

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