Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jiujiang - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Marat Sharipov		Hiroki Moriya

	1	2
	1.21	3.96	Watch
	1.25	3.75
	1.24	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.42)	3.79 ↑ (2.56)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marat Sharipov
75.4%

Hiroki Moriya
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marat Sharipov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marat Sharipov's performance.

Hiroki Moriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hiroki Moriya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marat Sharipov than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marat Sharipov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hiroki Moriya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Marat Sharipov - Hiroki Moriya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sharipov is ranked ATP: 365. Moriya is ranked ATP: 429.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sharipov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sharipov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Marat Sharipov - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 64.32%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marat Sharipov
ATP Challenger
26.04.26	Marat Sharipov - Ben Jones	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Marat Sharipov - Leandro Riedi	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Renta Tokuda - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Omar Jasika - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
15.04.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Marat Sharipov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWWL
- Hiroki Moriya
ATP Challenger
25.04.26	Haoran Hu - Hiroki Moriya	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Beibit Zhukayev - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Hiroki Moriya - Philip Sekulic	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Hiroki Moriya - Charles Broom	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWLW

Marat Sharipov - Hiroki Moriya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide